|
 |
|
 |
 |
Guru

Group: Advanced Members
Posts: 1095
Member No.: 32634
Joined: 18-June 04

|   |  |
 |
 |
 | QUOTE (Speakle @ Aug 10 2005, 05:53 PM) | | Reason why I even ask is that I did som ereading and saw that gas prices did this same thing in the early 80's I think it was but I dont remember why and things went back to normal after that. I just dont understand why the hell exactly oil has gone up so much. |
oil went up in the 80s due to a supply side issue (problems in Iran and with OPEC). After that was settled, prices went back down. This time, they are not ever going to come down, and will continue climbing. I wouldnt be surprised if we saw $3 gas by mid 2006, and then up to $4 by 2010. Reasons the prices are going up: -Inflation -War in Iraq, supply safety issues and less than maximal investment there -Exponentially increasing world demand for oil/ energy, particularly from china and india. They have just begun to industrialize/modernize, and they will be growing exponentially for quite a long while. More demand = higher prices (econ 101). Demand is also growing exponentially in the rest of the industrialized world, as electronics proliferate and populations increase. -Lack of possible exponential supply: it is impossible to increase the supply of oil exponentially. While there is a good amount of oil left in the world, it becomes exceedingly more expensive for oil companies to explore new fields, and especially to get oil out of existing fields at a faster rate. This amounts to a slowly growing linear supply of oil to face a rapidly expanding exponential demand for oil. The main reason is world demand. I would plan long-term around gasoline (and natural gas along the same lines) being $5-6 a gallon, i.e., live closer to your job if possible, buy a more fuel efficient vehicle, etc.
|
 |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
 |
 |
Guru

Group: Advanced Members
Posts: 1095
Member No.: 32634
Joined: 18-June 04

|   |  |
 |
 |
 | QUOTE (willpiazza31 @ Aug 10 2005, 07:09 PM) | What if they had a gas tax or reduction at the pump? Of course this would cost a lot of money to implement at first because of the new technology but here it is.
You would enter the type of vehicle that is going to fill up, SUV, compact, hybrid, etc. For an SUV or very large vehicle it would add let's say 20-30 cents a gallon to the price already there. For a compact or hybrid it would reduce the price by about 25 cents per gallon. There would be many in betweens but that's just an example. |
A simpler solution would be to tax the purchase of SUVs, or give credits to cars with better fuel milage. The latter is being considered, and I beleive was just implemented into law on a small-scale with Bush signing his energy bill. We need to create market-based incentives to converse power and gasoline, and they need to be drastic/quick. I am not saying that will solve the problem, only that it can only help. If no strong action is taken, barring a technological miracle, this situation we find ourselves in has only one eventual logical consequence: severe, destructive, worldwide depression like the world has never seen within the next 3-4 decades.
|
 |
|
|
|
Copyright © 2002-2008 1Fast |